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HR
executives will become as important as CFOs, according
to the recently published McKinsey study, The War
for Talent.
Recruiters
are already as important as sales executives.
And the sooner corporations catch on to this phenomenon,
the sooner they will improve their competitive
positions, their revenues, bottom lines and stock
valuations.
2001
marked the first year in a decade that corporations
and employers enjoyed a robust talent pool. This
will not last. Although the soft economy has created
a self-imposed truce in the war for candidates,
employers must take note: critical skill and educated
high performing candidate supply lines are dwindling.
Total
population unemployment rates have hovered between
3.5 and 6 percent since 1996. Management/Professional*(1)(MRI))
unemployment is less than half of that. Demographic
pressures*(2)(Dent)
are about to strike a mighty blow to corporate
America. During this decade, the overall labor
force will grow, but the Management/Professional
category will contract. The reasons? Universities
are not graduating a significant supply, Baby
Boomers*(3)(Dent)
are retiring, and the U.S. is increasingly shifting
from an industrial to an information and service-based
economy. All will create a tremendous talent short
fall. The resulting battles for talent will be
bloody.
Employers
not typically armed to attract the best talent
include low-performing Fortune 2000 companies,
emerging companies, smaller traditional firms,
government, education and healthcare. Their ability
to retain top performing talent will be trumped
by those who employ next generation recruiting
strategies*(4)(War
for Talent/ Watson, Wyatt). The consensus
among economists is that by the end of 2002, U.S.
GDP will reach growth rates achieved back in the
heady days of 2000. (5)
(Greenspan, Business Week). By 2003, the economy
will be roaring back.
Consequently,
recruiting industry career options will explode.
Third-party firms will expand to meet the needs
of their corporate, institution and government
clients. Corporate/HR internal recruiting teams
and firms must recruit to keep costs in check,
enhance quality control and improve time to hire.
Recruiting industry service providers competing
for market share must hire employees who are well
versed in recruiting processes and issues. Consulting
firms, promising to fix employer brands, processes,
and to build and train internal recruiters, need
an army of soldiers. Before you realize the rain
has begun, you'll be smack dab in the midst of
a full-fledged hurricane!
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